Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.023354 0.025208 0.027141 0.029308 0.031672 0.034173 0.037024
2025-11-23 0.020288 0.022945 0.025863 0.029313 0.033288 0.037736 0.043105
2025-11-30 0.018131 0.021223 0.024751 0.029090 0.034304 0.040390 0.048071
2025-12-07 0.016565 0.019933 0.023898 0.028934 0.035194 0.042764 0.052679
2025-12-14 0.015282 0.018824 0.023105 0.028694 0.035850 0.044772 0.056841
2025-12-21 0.014353 0.018051 0.022627 0.028752 0.036803 0.047122 0.061502
2025-12-28 0.013461 0.017246 0.022028 0.028571 0.037381 0.048959 0.065536
2026-01-04 0.012740 0.016601 0.021575 0.028523 0.038089 0.050957 0.069857
2026-01-11 0.012163 0.016104 0.021273 0.028633 0.038982 0.053218 0.074641
2026-01-18 0.011621 0.015615 0.020943 0.028668 0.039745 0.055307 0.079271
2026-01-25 0.011189 0.015247 0.020748 0.028863 0.040724 0.057727 0.084504
2026-02-01 0.010610 0.014642 0.020187 0.028496 0.040849 0.058889 0.087884
2026-02-08 0.010005 0.013989 0.019550 0.028019 0.040840 0.059929 0.091279
2026-02-15 0.009563 0.013548 0.019197 0.027945 0.041432 0.061916 0.096315
2026-02-22 0.009113 0.013073 0.018766 0.027721 0.041770 0.063514 0.100815
2026-03-01 0.008720 0.012659 0.018401 0.027570 0.042200 0.065264 0.105657
2026-03-08 0.008337 0.012240 0.018005 0.027343 0.042484 0.066777 0.110182
2026-03-15 0.008054 0.011957 0.017798 0.027397 0.043214 0.069045 0.116142
2026-03-22 0.007735 0.011604 0.017465 0.027226 0.043556 0.070673 0.121069
2026-03-29 0.007467 0.011318 0.017220 0.027181 0.044097 0.072656 0.126752
2026-04-05 0.007249 0.011100 0.017073 0.027285 0.044889 0.075106 0.133449
2026-04-12 0.007029 0.010869 0.016890 0.027318 0.045553 0.077359 0.139923
2026-04-19 0.006854 0.010701 0.016802 0.027503 0.046487 0.080139 0.147588